Weston Bearsvs
Adamstown Rosebuds
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/28/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Weston Bears are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00