GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/5/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Western United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Western United II are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Pascoe Vale are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Western United II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Western United II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Western United II

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Western United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Western United IIWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Pascoe ValeWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Western United IIPascoe Vale
63.9Attack44.9
12.5Defence25.6
36.1Form33.3
40.1Power37.1
3.16xG2.19
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