Western Sydney Wanderersvs
Auckland
COMPLETEDAustralia · A-League · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auckland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Western Sydney Wanderers 5-2 Auckland
Original prediction
Auckland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.9% | 33.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.8% | 38.8% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Auckland
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Auckland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40