Westerlo U21vs
Waasland-Beveren U21
COMPLETEDBelgium · Reserve Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Westerlo U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Westerlo U21 1-3 Waasland-Beveren U21
Original prediction
Westerlo U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.5% | 43.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.9% | 24.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.6% | 31.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Westerlo U21
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Westerlo U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20
GF 20 · GA 12 · avg 4.00/2.40