Westerlo U21vs
Kortrijk U21
COMPLETEDBelgium · Reserve Pro League · 10/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Westerlo U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Westerlo U21 2-1 Kortrijk U21
Original prediction
Westerlo U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 37.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 25.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.4% | 37.1% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Westerlo U21
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Westerlo U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60