Westchester SCvs
Union Omaha
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Westchester SC 2-1 Union Omaha
Original prediction
Union Omaha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.3% | 26.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 22.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.8% | 51.5% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00