Westchester SCvs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Westchester SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Westchester SC 5-2 Richmond Kickers
Original prediction
Westchester SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.8% | 63.3% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.1% | 19.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.1% | 17.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Westchester SC
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Westchester SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20