GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Westchester SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the USL League One Cup, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Hearts of Pine

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

10.8%

Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Westchester SCLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Hearts of PineDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Westchester SCPortland Hearts of Pine
41.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence25.0
8.3Form41.7
25.7Power41.6
1.65xG1.75
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