Westchester SCvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Westchester SC 3-2 Forward Madison
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.4% | 28.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 27.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.3% | 44.4% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60