GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/15/2025, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

West Wallsend are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West WallsendWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
West WallsendThornton Redbacks
50.0Attack52.2
13.0Defence26.1
35.2Form36.2
33.7Power39.1
2.45xG2.62
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