GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/11/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Torrens Birkalla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

West Torrens Birkalla are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Adelaide Cobras are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and West Torrens Birkalla hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the South Australia State League 1, while West Torrens Birkalla holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Torrens Birkalla

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

West Torrens Birkalla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West Torrens BirkallaDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Adelaide CobrasWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
West Torrens BirkallaAdelaide Cobras
54.7Attack33.3
46.7Defence31.8
50.7Form30.3
52.1Power33.6
2.58xG0.94
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