GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/1/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

West Torrens Birkalla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Adelaide City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (66.0 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West Torrens BirkallaLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CityLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
West Torrens BirkallaAdelaide City
81.8Attack66.7
56.1Defence75.8
68.2Form72.7
66.0Power71.7
1.56xG1.68
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