West Ham Wvs
Southampton W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham W 3-1 Southampton W
Original prediction
West Ham W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 64.9% | 48.4% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.1% | 25.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.0% | 26.1% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
West Ham W
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
West Ham W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40