West Ham Wvs
London City Lionesses W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham W 1-2 London City Lionesses W
Original prediction
London City Lionesses W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 19.8% | 33.0% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.4% | 26.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.8% | 41.1% | -15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
London City Lionesses W
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40