GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 9/12/2026, 11:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

West Ham W 2-1 London City Lionesses W

Original prediction

London City Lionesses W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.6413.6%26.5%12.9 pts
Draw4.4720.2%25.3%5.1 pts
Away1.3766.1%48.2%-18.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-18.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

London City Lionesses W

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West Ham WLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
London City Lionesses WWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
West Ham WLondon City Lionesses W
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power80.3
1.29xG1.75
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