GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

West Ham W 0-1 Everton W

Original prediction

West Ham W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.7%38.8%-3.0 pts
Draw3.1728.9%27.8%-1.1 pts
Away3.1129.4%33.5%4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

West Ham W

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

West Ham W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West Ham WWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton WWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
West Ham WEverton W
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power53.0
1.46xG1.35
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