West Ham Wvs
Chelsea W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham W 0-3 Chelsea W
Original prediction
Chelsea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.42 | 7.3% | 19.1% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.93 | 13.2% | 21.3% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.5% | 59.6% | -19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00