GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

West Ham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while TSC Backa Topola are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 17.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

79.7%

Model confidence

79.7%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West HamLWWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TSC Backa TopolaWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West HamTSC Backa Topola
53.3Attack33.3
73.3Defence0.0
63.3Form5.6
63.2Power17.4
2.65xG0.51
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