GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

West Ham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West HamLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SC FreiburgWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
West HamSC Freiburg
53.3Attack70.0
73.3Defence53.3
63.3Form63.3
63.2Power60.4
1.61xG1.02
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