GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

West Ham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while West Ham holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West HamLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusLWWDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
West HamOlympiakos Piraeus
53.3Attack63.3
73.3Defence46.7
63.3Form56.7
63.2Power55.7
1.87xG0.91
View match centre →