GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/18/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

West Ham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West HamLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
West HamBayer Leverkusen
53.3Attack79.5
73.3Defence66.7
63.3Form76.9
63.2Power73.5
1.11xG1.21
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