West Ham United U21vs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham United U21 1-0 Liverpool U21
Original prediction
West Ham United U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.4% | 58.2% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.4% | 17.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.2% | 24.3% | -12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
West Ham United U21
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60