West Ham United U21vs
Burnley U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham United U21 3-1 Burnley U21
Original prediction
West Ham United U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.2% | 47.7% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 22.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 21.9% | 30.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
West Ham United U21
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20