West Ham United U21vs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham United U21 1-1 Brighton U21
Original prediction
Brighton U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 33.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 42.0% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20