England · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Bromwich Albion U21 1-3 Nottingham Forest U21
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.5% | 32.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.2% | 24.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.3% | 42.6% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest U21
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Nottingham Forest U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60