GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

West Armenia are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Premier League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West ArmeniaLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Ararat-ArmeniaLLWDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
West ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
40.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence33.3
35.2Form100.0
38.6Power83.3
1.22xG2.38
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