GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/2/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

West Adelaide are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while MetroStars are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West AdelaideLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MetroStarsWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
West AdelaideMetroStars
60.6Attack80.3
33.3Defence65.2
37.9Form66.7
44.9Power67.5
1.31xG3.23
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