GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Beograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

West Adelaide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FK Beograd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the South Australia NPL, while FK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Beograd

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

9.0%

FK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West AdelaideDWWLL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FK BeogradDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
West AdelaideFK Beograd
60.6Attack53.0
33.3Defence54.5
37.9Form50.0
44.9Power52.8
1.78xG2.04
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