GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/4/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Werribee City are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kingston City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingston City hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Kingston City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingston City

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Kingston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Werribee CityLD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Kingston CityWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Werribee CityKingston City
50.0Attack60.3
42.3Defence44.9
39.7Form52.6
45.7Power52.9
1.78xG2.00
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