GGOALVIO

Germany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Werder Bremen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Werder Bremen W 4-3 SC Freiburg W

Original prediction

Werder Bremen W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8149.5%50.3%0.9 pts
Draw3.5924.9%24.2%-0.7 pts
Away3.4825.7%25.4%-0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Werder Bremen W

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Werder Bremen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Werder Bremen WLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC Freiburg WLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Werder Bremen WSC Freiburg W
55.6Attack38.1
55.6Defence52.4
55.6Form47.6
57.8Power47.6
1.79xG1.10
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