Werder Bremen IIvs
Phönix Lübeck
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phönix Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Werder Bremen II 0-2 Phönix Lübeck
Original prediction
Phönix Lübeck
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.85 | 18.7% | 20.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.0% | 58.1% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Phönix Lübeck
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Phönix Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20