Welling Unitedvs
Whyteleafe
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welling United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Welling United 1-0 Whyteleafe
Original prediction
Welling United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 65.3% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 18.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.7% | 16.3% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Welling United
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Welling United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80