Welling Unitedvs
Cheshunt
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welling United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Welling United 2-0 Cheshunt
Original prediction
Welling United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.0% | 62.5% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 20.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.2% | 16.9% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Welling United
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Welling United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20