Welayta Dichavs
Fasil Ketema
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welayta Dicha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Welayta Dicha 0-0 Fasil Ketema
Original prediction
Welayta Dicha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 38.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.58 | 34.8% | 30.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.4% | 31.4% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Welayta Dicha
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Welayta Dicha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00