Welayta Dichavs
Bahardar
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Welayta Dicha 0-0 Bahardar, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Welayta Dicha 1-3 Bahardar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.3% | 33.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.60 | 34.7% | 35.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.0% | 30.9% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Welayta Dicha 0–0 Bahardar
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Welayta DichaDDLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00
BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
BahardarLWLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Welayta DichaBahardar
16.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power53.0
0.61xG0.55