GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/7/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Hornau are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HornauDLDLD

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenHornau
60.8Attack50.9
45.1Defence15.7
49.0Form25.9
51.5Power32.7
3.60xG1.50
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