GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/12/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenDWLWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergDWWLD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenFriedberg
60.8Attack66.7
45.1Defence66.7
49.0Form77.8
51.5Power72.8
1.82xG1.92
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