GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 3.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Friedberg are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
FriedbergDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
WeidenhausenFriedberg
60.8Attack66.7
45.1Defence66.7
49.0Form77.8
51.5Power72.8
1.82xG1.92
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