GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/13/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenDWLDW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
WeidenhausenFernwald
60.8Attack41.7
45.1Defence58.3
49.0Form41.7
51.5Power48.8
2.01xG1.51
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