GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Gießen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenLDDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC GießenWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WeidenhausenFC Gießen
60.8Attack50.0
45.1Defence33.3
49.0Form25.0
51.5Power39.1
2.50xG1.57
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