GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/23/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WeidenhausenFC 1906 Erlensee
60.8Attack41.2
45.1Defence30.4
49.0Form26.5
51.5Power34.5
2.97xG1.22
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