GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/4/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalDLWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenBaunatal
60.8Attack22.2
45.1Defence44.4
49.0Form11.1
51.5Power29.5
2.38xG1.36
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