GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weidenhausen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeidenhausenLLDDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenBaunatal
60.8Attack22.2
45.1Defence44.4
49.0Form11.1
51.5Power29.5
2.38xG1.36
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