Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kornburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Weiden are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kornburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kornburg hold a 39.1-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Kornburg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kornburg
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
12.9%
Kornburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20