Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Weiden
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Cham
AwayThe model projects 0.96 xG for Weiden and 1.44 xG for Cham. Weiden's projected xG of 0.96 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.40 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesWeidenProbability breakdown
Cham leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Cham Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1
Weiden host Cham in Oberliga - Bayern Nord. Weiden have recorded DDWLLL in recent matches while Cham arrive with a run of WLLLWW. These sides have met 7 times recently, averaging 2.7 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Cham have won 5 of the last 7 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.
Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Cham are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.
Risk factors
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
Weiden
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Weiden vs Cham?
GoalVio's model predicts Cham to win with 45% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Weiden vs Cham?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Weiden vs Cham?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Weiden vs Cham?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.