Weiche Flensburgvs
VfB Oldenburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiche Flensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Weiche Flensburg 3-2 VfB Oldenburg
Original prediction
Weiche Flensburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.3% | 51.9% | 16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.8% | 18.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.9% | 29.2% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Weiche Flensburg
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00