Weiche Flensburgvs
SV Drochtersen/Assel
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiche Flensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Weiche Flensburg 3-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel
Original prediction
Weiche Flensburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.9% | 48.6% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 20.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.8% | 30.4% | -12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Weiche Flensburg
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40