GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/11/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weiche Flensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Weiche Flensburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Holstein Kiel II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weiche Flensburg hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while Weiche Flensburg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weiche Flensburg

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weiche FlensburgDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Holstein Kiel IIWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weiche FlensburgHolstein Kiel II
100.0Attack61.8
50.0Defence48.0
66.7Form54.9
71.2Power55.7
2.15xG1.75
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