GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 12/8/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Wegberg-Beeck are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SSV Merten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wegberg-BeeckLWWWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SSV MertenLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wegberg-BeeckSSV Merten
66.7Attack84.4
43.3Defence51.1
53.3Form66.7
54.4Power66.7
2.10xG2.82
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