GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Düsseldorf II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wegberg-Beeck are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortuna Düsseldorf II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Düsseldorf II hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Regionalliga - West, while Fortuna Düsseldorf II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wegberg-BeeckWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Fortuna Düsseldorf IIWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wegberg-BeeckFortuna Düsseldorf II
42.2Attack50.0
24.5Defence52.0
25.5Form44.1
33.1Power48.8
1.25xG2.19
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